Polling Update # 18: The state of the meltdown. ~ The Scorecard

Monday, October 10, 2016

Polling Update # 18: The state of the meltdown.

We have all been looking at huge news that has upended the discussion and moved the polls.

Hillary Clinton now leads by 5.8% in the two-way race 48.3% to 42.5%. Clinton is up two points from last week, when she had 48.1% to Trump’s 44.3%. In the four-way, Clinton leads by 5.1%, 44.8% to 39.7%. This is up 1.4% from last week when she had 44.3% to 40.6%.

We don’t yet have an idea of just how big this lead is going to be. There are some rumblings that it is going to be bigger but we don’t yet know. Big news can swing things in a big way. We will see more as we go forward but for now Clinton is on the march.

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The Scorecard

The Scorecard is a political strategy and analysis blog. Our hope is to provide information and insight that can be found nowhere else into how and why things are happening in American politics. Unlike many political pundits, we will tell you who we think is going to win as an election approaches; we will tell you why; and we will give you a sense of our level of confidence. Ours is a holistic approach, one that takes in as many numbers as possible but is also willing to look past the numbers if need be. When we turn out to have been wrong, we will let you know. When we are right, we’ll let you know that too.

The Scorecard

Monday, October 10, 2016