Thursday, June 9, 2016

Trump’s Money Problem

Donald Trump’s greatest claim to fame is that he is rich beyond all imagining. There is thus a rich (pardon the expression) irony emerging in the presidential contest. Because Trump is not in fact rich beyond all imagining, Trump is facing a very real challenge having enough money to run a campaign. 

We have discussed this issue before http://mcfd2016.blogspot.com/2016/05/can-donald-trump-raise-money-he-needs.html. But it is important to repeat and expand this claim because the reports about his fundraising over the last month have not been good. The big donors don’t seem to be there. Trump had one major fundraiser in Los Angeles but did not announce a fundraising total. We are also seeing stories like this one http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-trump-money-idUSKCN0YV1NV?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=Social.  In it, there are lots of complaints from donors about Trump but no dollar commitments from donors for Trump. Trump’s comments this past week about the Mexican-American judge who is presiding over his fraud trial have not been helpful. Big donors hear that and wonder why they would possibly want to be part of this campaign.

Trump’s efforts with small donors don’t seem to be going any better. He has yet to incorporate into his speeches a line begging his supporters for small donations.  It is really hard for him to do that because part of his appeal to his small army of supporters is that they believe he is so rich he does not need them. 

As a result of these problems, Trump has gone from saying, “I am going to raise a ton of money,” to “I don’t really need money, others think I do.” 

The latter attitude is wrong. A real campaign knocks on doors and drives turnout. It defends itself against an opponent’s television blitz. When an opponent attacked Trump with serious resources in Wisconsin, Trump was beaten badly. That the Republican establishment ran out of gas was surprising but it does not mean money is meaningless. To win, Trump needs the demographics of the electorate to change a bit. Without resources, Trump is just praying for a different electorate, not working for it.  

We will know more at the end of the month, or maybe mid-July, about Trump’s ability to fundraise, but it seems like there is no good news for him on this front. 









Share:

0 comments:

Post a Comment

The Scorecard

The Scorecard

The Scorecard is a political strategy and analysis blog. Our hope is to provide information and insight that can be found nowhere else into how and why things are happening in American politics. Unlike many political pundits, we will tell you who we think is going to win as an election approaches; we will tell you why; and we will give you a sense of our level of confidence. Ours is a holistic approach, one that takes in as many numbers as possible but is also willing to look past the numbers if need be. When we turn out to have been wrong, we will let you know. When we are right, we’ll let you know that too.

Our Delegate Math


Delegate Count


Delegate Contests

About Me

Delegate Count

Author Jason Paul is a longtime political operative who got his start as an intern in 2002. He has been a political forecaster for almost as long. He won the 2006 Swing State Project election prediction contest and has won two other local contests. He had the pulse of Obama-Clinton race in 2008 and has been as good as anyone at delegate math in the 2016 race. He looks forwards to providing quality coverage for the remainder of the 2016 race.