Once the
primaries began, Donald Trump had a huge advantage. On every primary night,
except for two of consequence (Iowa and Wisconsin), Trump won at least
something. Before this race was called yesterday, Trump had won 27 states out
of the 41 states that had voted. That meant Trump got to boast regularly about
all his winning.
His polls
results worked the same way. Whenever his controversial early statements
threatened to engulf his campaign, he could pull out a new poll that had him ahead.
No one cared about what Trump said as long as he was still winning. Winning
beget winning. This feedback loop helped him tremendously in the
primaries.
But now
Trump faces a deficit in the polls and he has no possibility of a real win until
the actual election. Sure there is one outlier poll that shows him ahead and
there might be one or two more to come. And sure Trump is the master of
generating attention. But how is he going to be winning and, more importantly,
seen as winning? Without being able to fall back on big wins and big poll
leads, what is his strategy? This will be an interesting to watch as we move
forward.
Tomorrow we
will take our first look at the Senate.
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