Thursday, April 14, 2016

Republicans Can’t Avoid the Question of Who Should Be President

We have tried our best to keep our coverage focused on this fascinating primary process. But with six days until the next primary in New York and with the parameters of the final primaries relatively well set, now is a good a time for a slight pivot toward the general election. Today, we will not look at possible general election matchups but instead look at those who are running from the reality of the general election.
The following CNN report http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/12/politics/republican-convention-2016/index.html suggests that several high-profile Republicans, including Jeb Bush and Senators Kelly Ayotte and Richard Burr, don’t plan to attend the Republican convention in Cleveland. This might make a certain amount of political sense, particularly for candidates in potentially close races. At the same time for a politician to avoid the question of who should be the President is a little like the early 1960s duck-and-cover method for avoiding a nuclear explosion -- just because you hide under your desk doesn’t mean you won’t get blown away in the inevitable blast.
In race after race, the advice for how to survive in hyper-partisan times is to focus on local issues and avoid the national skid. When everyone is talking about A and you insist on talking about C or D, however, it is not likely to work. Every Republican running for office, whether they attend the Cleveland convention or not, needs a good answer on whom they think should be President. It is not certain that any answer will work but even harmful clarity is better than the pathetic confusion that some people are thinking of going with.

Although you might try and avoid being at the center of a bad story, the storm will come to you regardless of what else you try to do.  This is a question that must be answered.
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The Scorecard is a political strategy and analysis blog. Our hope is to provide information and insight that can be found nowhere else into how and why things are happening in American politics. Unlike many political pundits, we will tell you who we think is going to win as an election approaches; we will tell you why; and we will give you a sense of our level of confidence. Ours is a holistic approach, one that takes in as many numbers as possible but is also willing to look past the numbers if need be. When we turn out to have been wrong, we will let you know. When we are right, we’ll let you know that too.

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Author Jason Paul is a longtime political operative who got his start as an intern in 2002. He has been a political forecaster for almost as long. He won the 2006 Swing State Project election prediction contest and has won two other local contests. He had the pulse of Obama-Clinton race in 2008 and has been as good as anyone at delegate math in the 2016 race. He looks forwards to providing quality coverage for the remainder of the 2016 race.