Democrats:
Odds Sanders 95% Clinton 5%
Margin: Sanders 54% Clinton 46%
Explanation: This is a state that is demographically similar
to Michigan except that the voters are roughly half as African American. The
polling mostly gives Sanders a very slight lead, but when you are this deep
into a process and have polls that disagree with demographics go with the demographics.
Delegate total: Sanders 46 Clinton 40
|
Delegates
|
Sanders
|
Clinton
|
|
WI AL
|
11
|
8
|
|
WI PLEO
|
5
|
5
|
|
WI 1
|
3
|
3
|
|
WI 2
|
7
|
4
|
|
WI 3
|
4
|
3
|
|
WI 4
|
4
|
6
|
|
WI 5
|
3
|
2
|
|
WI 6
|
3
|
3
|
|
WI 7
|
3
|
3
|
|
WI 8
|
3
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
Republicans:
Odds Cruz 97% Trump 3%
Margin: Cruz 44% Trump 37%
Kasich 19%
Explanation: Cruz has been gaining here, and this was never
a state in which Donald Trump was particularly strong. Cruz has also lined up the Wisconsin Talk
Show hosts and Governor Scott Walker. What also seems clear is that Trump has not
entirely collapsed and will get a lot of votes. We have him also winning two
districts and could even see him being competitive in another three. This could be closer than some believe, but
in the end it’s hard to see Cruz losing.
Delegate Total: Cruz 36 Trump 6
|
Delegates
|
Cruz
|
Trump
|
|
Statewide
|
18
|
0
|
|
CD 1
|
3
|
0
|
|
CD 2
|
3
|
0
|
|
CD 3
|
0
|
3
|
|
CD 4
|
3
|
0
|
|
CD 5
|
3
|
0
|
|
CD 6
|
3
|
0
|
|
CD 7
|
0
|
3
|
|
CD 8
|
3
|
0
|
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