Republican Report Card

PREDICTED TOTAL

Trump 264   Cruz 193       Rubio 117     Kasich 14      Carson 4

ACTUAL TOTAL

Trump 256   Cruz 217       Rubio 98       Kasich 21      Carson 3

ALABAMA

Prediction:   Trump 27     Rubio 12       Cruz 11
Actual:           Trump 36     Cruz 13         Rubio 1
What follows are the specific contests  We got wrong and the way We did. Correct predictions are not included.  
At Large
Prediction:   Trump 13    Cruz 8            Rubio 8
Actual:           Trump 20     Cruz 9
(Rubio missed statewide threshold so he received 0 delegates)
CD 1
Prediction:  Trump 2         Rubio 1 
Actual:           Trump 3 (everyone else missed threshold)
CD 2
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1
CD 4
Prediction:   Trump 2        Cruz 1
Actual:           Trump 3
CD 5
Prediction:   Trump 2        Cruz 1 
Actual:           Trump 2        Rubio 1
CD 6
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1
CD 7
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1

ALASKA

 (Math error led me to overlook two delegates in predictions)
Prediction:   Trump 11     Cruz 8            Rubio 7
Actual:           Cruz 12         Trump 11     Rubio 5

ARKANSAS

Prediction:   Trump 20     Cruz 10         Rubio 10
Actual:           Trump 16     Cruz 15         Rubio 9
What follows are the specific contests We got wrong and the way We did. Correct predictions are not included.
At large
Prediction:   Trump 12     Cruz 8            Rubio 8
Actual:           Trump 10     Cruz 10         Rubio 8
CD 1
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1
CD 2
Prediction:  Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Cruz 2            Rubio 1 

GEORGIA

Prediction:   Trump 41     Rubio 19       Cruz 16
Actual:           Trump 43     Cruz 17         Rubio 16
What follows are the specific contests We got wrong and the way We did. Correct predictions are not included.  
At large
(We originally misinterpreted the rules, assuming RNC delegates were going to be allocated as part of proportionality but in fact they went to the winner.)
Prediction:  Trump 13     Rubio 11       Cruz 10
Actual:           Trump 17     Rubio 9          Cruz 8
CD 1
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1
CD 4
Prediction:  Trump 2         Cruz 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Rubio 1
CD 5
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Rubio 2          Trump 1
CD 6
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Rubio 2          Trump 1
CD 10
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1
CD 12
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2       Cruz 1
CD 13
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1

MASSACHUSETTS

Prediction:   Trump 19     Rubio 9          Kasich 6         Cruz 5            Carson 2
Actual:           Trump 22     Kasich 8         Rubio 8          Cruz 4

MINNESOTA

Prediction:  Trump 14     Cruz 12         Rubio 12
Actual:           Rubio 17       Cruz 13         Trump 8
What follows are the specific contests We got wrong and the way We did. Correct predictions are not included.
At large
Prediction: Trump 6          Rubio 4          Cruz 4
Actual:           Rubio 6          Cruz 5            Trump 3
CD 3
Prediction:   Cruz   1          Rubio 1          Trump 1
Actual:           Rubio 2          Cruz 1            Trump 0
CD 4
Prediction:   Cruz   1          Rubio 1          Trump 1
Actual:           Rubio 2          Cruz 1            Trump 0
CD 5
Prediction:   Cruz   1          Rubio 1          Trump 1
Actual:           Rubio 2          Cruz 1            Trump 0

OKLAHOMA

Prediction:   Trump 17     Rubio 13       Cruz 13
Actual:           Cruz 16         Trump 14     Rubio 13
What follows are the specific contests We got wrong and the way We did. Correct predictions are not included.
At large
Prediction:   Trump 12     Rubio 8          Cruz 8
Actual:           Cruz 11         Trump 9        Rubio 8

TENNESSEE

Prediction:   Trump 32     Cruz 14         Rubio 12
Actual:           Trump 33     Cruz 16         Rubio 9
Differences 
At Large
Prediction:   Trump 14     Cruz 9            Rubio 8
Actual:           Trump 15     Cruz 10         Rubio 6
CD 2
Prediction:   Trump 2        Cruz 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Rubio 1
CD 4
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1
CD 9
Prediction:   Trump 2        Rubio 1
Actual:           Trump 2        Cruz 1

TEXAS

(Our written explanation was correct in indicating that Rubio would not get to threshold in this state, but the Texas chart did not reflect that.)
Prediction:   Cruz 99         Trump 56 
Actual:           Cruz 104       Trump 48     Rubio 3
What follows are the specific contests We got wrong and the way We did. Correct predictions are not included.
At large
Prediction:   Cruz 27         Trump 20
Actual:           Cruz 30         Trump 17
CD 1
Prediction:   Cruz 2            Trump 1
Actual:           Cruz 3
CD 7
Prediction:   Cruz 2            Trump 1 
Actual:           Cruz 2            Rubio 1
CD 16
Prediction:   Cruz 2            Trump 1
Actual:           Cruz 1            Rubio 1
CD 32
Prediction:   Cruz 2            Trump 1
Actual:           Cruz 2            Rubio 1

VIRGINIA

Prediction:  Trump 18       Rubio 14       Cruz 10         Kasich 5         Carson 2
Actual:           Trump 17     Rubio 16       Cruz 8            Kasich 5         Carson 3

VERMONT

Prediction:   Trump 8       Rubio 5          Kasich 3
Actual:           Trump 8        Kasich 8         Rubio 0
(Rubio missed threshold)